Here’s the October Production Forecast from the USDA.
COLUMBIA, MO – September rains and cooler temperatures helped the soybean crop improve statewide. The rains came too late for corn which was already over 80 percent mature by the start of September. At the beginning of October corn was nearly 90 percent harvested while less than 10 percent of soybeans across the state were harvested.
Missouri corn yield forecast remains at 75 bushels per acre, the lowest since 51 bushels per acre in 1983. Corn planted and harvested for grain acres are estimated at 3.6 and 3.35 million acres respectively, unchanged from the September 1 estimate. The resulting production forecast is 251 million bushels. If realized, this production would be the lowest since 1999 when 247 million bushels were harvested off of 2.65 million planted acres.
Soybean yield in Missouri is estimated at 30 bushels per acre, an increase of two bushels from last month and the lowest since 29.5 bushels per acre in 2003. Planted and harvested acres were both increased 100,000 acres from the September 1 forecast to 5.4 and 5.25 million acres respectively. The will be the most soybeans planted in Missouri since 1999 when there were also 5.4 million acres planted. Production is now forecast at 157.5 million bushels, an increase of 13.3 million bushels from last month but the smallest since 146.0 million bushels in 2003.
Alfalfa hay production in Missouri is forecast at 1.90 tons per acre, down 0.1 ton from the August 1 forecast and the lowest since 1955. Harvested acres are forecast at 250,000 acres. This would result in a production of 475,000 tons, the least amount of alfalfa produced in Missouri since 1938.
Other hay yield in Missouri is forecast at 1.20 tons per acre, down 0.2 ton from August. Harvested acres are expected to total 3.4 million acres giving a production of 4.08 million tons, the smallest production since 1988. The resulting total hay production for the state is estimated to be 4.6 million tons, the least since 1980.
U.S. Highlights:
Corn production is forecast at 10.7 billion bushels, down slightly from the September forecast and down 13 percent from 2011. This represents the lowest production in the United States since 2006. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 122.0 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from the September forecast and 25.2 bushels
Missouri Soybean Yield and Production
Production (mln bu) Yield (bu/ac)below the 2011 average. If realized, this will be the lowest average yield since 1995. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 87.7 million acres, up less than 1 percent from the September forecast and up 4 percent from 2011. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 9 percent from September but down 8 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 37.8 bushels per acre, up 2.5 bushels from last month but down 4.1 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yield forecasts are higher or unchanged across all States. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 75.7 million acres, up 1 percent from September and up 3 percent from last year. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data