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Tuesday’s closing grain bids

December 13th, 2016

St Joseph

 

Yellow Corn

3.29 – 3.36

White Corn

3.61

Soybeans

9.60 – 9.68

LifeLine Foods

3.41

 

 

Atchison

Yellow Corn

3.36 – 3.41

Soybeans

9.53

Hard Wheat

 3.15

Soft Wheat

 3.17

 

 

Kansas City Truck Bids

 

Yellow Corn

 3.43

White Corn

3.79 – 3.85

Soybeans

9.83

Hard Wheat

3.30 – 3.35

Soft Wheat

3.32

Sorghum

5.38

For more information, contact the 680 KFEQ Farm Department.
816-233-8881.

 

Orchard owner suing Monsanto over Dicamba drift

Peach pic2A Missouri peach farmer is suing Monsanto over 700 acres of orchard and timber damage believed to be caused by dicamba drift in 2016. DTN reports the farm lost more than 30,000 peach trees this year to alleged dicamba drift and another 7,000 trees last year, resulting in a $1.5 million gross loss of sales. Bader Farms from Southeast Missouri is the state’s largest peach farm and alleges Monsanto knowingly marketed its Xtend cotton and soybean seeds to farmers without any safe herbicide. The suit claims Monsanto knew the only option purchasers would have to protect crops grown from those seeds from weed pressure would be to spray dicamba illegally. In a prepared statement to DTN, a Monsanto spokesperson said: “While we sympathize with those who have been impacted by farmers who chose to apply dicamba illegally, this lawsuit attempts to shift responsibility away from individuals who knowingly and intentionally broke state and federal law and harmed their neighbors in the process.” Missouri agriculture officials are investigating 124 dicamba-related complaints this year.

Non-OPEC Oil-Producing countries agree to cut output along with OPEC

oilOil-producing nations struck a deal over the weekend to cut output along with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC. The pact is designed to reduce a global oversupply of crude, lift prices and lend support to economies hurt by a two-year market slump. Pro Farmer’s First Thing Today newsletter reports the agreement would remove 558,000 barrels a day of crude oil from the market on top of 1.2 million barrels a day in cuts already agreed to by OPEC, amounting to a total of almost two percent of global oil supply. The cuts, if carried out as described over the first half of 2017, would represent an unprecedented level of cooperation among oil-producing countries. However, oil market analysts have said prices would not go up if the bulk of the cuts were from countries where production is already expected to fall.

Syngenta class action lawsuit moving forward

syngenta logoA class-action lawsuit against Syngenta regarding rejected exports is likely to head to trial next year, as scheduled. Online publication Agri-Pulse reports the 10th Circuit Court of Appeals declined to review a lower court’s certification order, allowing the lawsuit to proceed. Syngenta called the appeals court ruling “one step in a long process.” Multiple classes of farmers within the lawsuit are suing the company because a Syngenta biotech corn trait unapproved for export to China that was found in export cargos allegedly pushed corn prices lower in 2013. Lawyers for the farmers included in the lawsuit estimate the farmers lost between $5 billion and $7 billion in revenue because China stopped importing U.S. corn at the time. The nationwide class involved in the lawsuit is set for trial in June of 2017.

Heitkamp topping Trump ag secretary list

heitkampU.S. Senator Heidi Heitkamp, a North Dakota Democrat, tops President-elect Donald Trump’s list to be the next Agriculture Secretary. The question remains, however, whether she will accept the post. Politico reports that if she leaves the Senate for the Department of Agriculture, Heitkamp will likely be giving up her Senate seat to a Republican. Democrats are hoping she would turn down the offer because it would give Republicans a chance to increase their thin majority in the Senate, which stands at 52 seats. However, former North Dakota Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan says Heitkamp can win reelection because North Dakotans “like and trust” her. Heitkamp met with Trump earlier this month and is also considered to be a potential Energy Secretary, though former Texas Governor Rick Perry is the likely front-runner for that post. Heitkamp is viewed as a vocal advocate for farmers and would be a small signal of bipartisanship under the Trump administration.

Monday’s cash grain bids

December 12th, 2016

St Joseph

 

Yellow Corn

3.28 – 3.35

White Corn

no bid

Soybeans

9.63 – 9.71

LifeLine Foods

3.41

 

 

Atchison

Yellow Corn

3.36 – 3.40

Soybeans

9.56

Hard Wheat

 3.14

Soft Wheat

 3.17

 

 

Kansas City Truck Bids

 

Yellow Corn

 3.43

White Corn

3.76 – 3.81

Soybeans

9.86

Hard Wheat

3.30 – 3.35

Soft Wheat

3.32

Sorghum

5.37

For more information, contact the 680 KFEQ Farm Department.
816-233-8881.

 

Farm Credit System reports increasing stress

fcs-farm-credit-systemThe Farm Credit System’s quarterly report says stress levels are still high in the ag sector of the economy. In fact, the operating report says stress levels are high in many different sectors of agriculture. Farm debt levels are still high while cash receipts continue to decline. Interest rates remain low but are slowly beginning to rise. That’s combined with commodity prices that’ll remain low thanks to record or near-record production in corn, soybeans, and wheat. All of these factors are also putting downward pressure on farmland prices. High production numbers are also weighing down price and profit margins in the dairy and protein industries. Overall, the quarterly reports say the Farm Credit System is financially sound and safe, well set against the risky environment in agriculture. The System reported modest loan growth, favorable earnings, and higher capital levels in the first nine months of 2016. The System’s portfolio loan quality is in good shape, but credit risk measures are showing increasing stress.

China proposes new food safety rules on imports

GrainThe Chinese government recently proposed a draft rule on food imports that has the European and U.S. governments concerned. Trade officials from both nations are concerned that the new rules could hamper billions of dollars in goods like coffee, pasta, and biscuits, that are all shipped to the number two economy in the world. The proposed rule is part of a push by China to increase its oversight of the country’s large food supply chain. The new rule for shipping food imports into China will require imports to have health certificates with them, even if the products are designated as low risk. Pork Network Dot Com says the new regulations will add costs and logistical headaches to a large number of companies that do business in China. Germany’s Ambassador to China, Michael Clauss, told Reuters, “The new draft has clearly crossed a line from protecting the consumer to outright protectionism of the domestic producer.” Chinese producers will not be required to meet the same standards. The Chinese Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection, and Quarantine is the group that oversees food import safety and a Reuters request for more information from the agency was not responded to.

Bayer/Monsanto asks soybean growers for support

MonsantoMonsanto and Bayer officials met together with about 200 members of the American Soybean Association and asked them to support the proposed merger between the two companies. Monsanto Chief Technology officer Robb Fraley and Bayer AG Board Member Liam Condon talked about the potential $66 billion-dollar acquisition of Monsanto with members of the ASA and the United Soybean Board at the USB Winter Meeting in St. Louis. Fraley told the crowd, “I’m here to ask for your support.” Farm Journal research says the merger would create a company controlling nearly 37 percent of the corn seed market and 30 percent of the market for soybean seeds. The deal is in the hands of regulators and won’t close until late next year. Condon reinforced the message he’s already given to regulators: that they’re willing to sell off where the companies overlap if objections are made on anti-trust grounds. Condon said those objections may happen in cotton and canola, saying those are two of the more likely areas.

USDA WASDE report at a glance

Corn: No changes are made to this month’s 2016/17 U.S. corn supply and use projections. Forecast U.S. corn exports are unchanged this month, despite a sales and shipment pace that is well above a year ago. In recent years, early-season U.S. corn export commitments have not been a robust indicator of final exports, and it is expected that the U.S. will likely face strong competition from South America beginning in the first part of 2017. The projected range for the season-average corn price received by producers is raised 5 cents on both ends to $3.05 to $3.65 per bushel, on continued higher-than-expected early-season prices.

Soybeans: Soybean supply and use projections for 2016/17 are unchanged from last month. Although early-season soybean exports are sharply higher than a year ago, competition from South America is expected to be strong in the second half of the marketing year, limiting U.S. export prospects during the summer of 2017 relative to the prior year. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 480 million bushels which, if realized, would be the highest since 2006/07.

The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2016/17 is forecast at $8.70 to $10.20 per bushel, up 25 cents on both ends of the range. Soybean oil is forecast at 34.5 to 37.5 cents per pound, up 2 cents on both ends. The soybean meal price forecast is unchanged at $305 to $345 per short ton.

Wheat: The U.S. 2016/17 all wheat supply and demand estimates are unchanged from November. The marketing year average price received by producers is unchanged at the midpoint, but the range is narrowed $0.20 per bushel to $3.60 to $3.80.

Global wheat production for 2016/17 is raised 6.5 million tons led by a 4.7-million-ton increase for Australia, a 0.9-million-ton increase for China, and 0.4-million-ton increases for both the EU and Brazil. Higher area estimated by ABARES combined with a USDA yield projection that reflects near ideal weather support the large Australia production increase. Prior to this change, USDA had already projected a record Australia yield. However, the new yield is up 18 percent from the previous record. Production increases for China, the EU, and Brazil are due to updated official data.

With supplies growing faster than use, ending stocks are raised 2.9 million tons and remain record large.

Rice: The U.S. 2016/17 all rice supply and demand estimates are mostly unchanged from last month. The only adjustment to the balance sheet is a 1.0-million-cwt increase in rough exports that is offset by an equivalent reduction in milled exports. These changes reflect export pace to date. Overall rice exports remain projected at 112.0 million cwt. The all rice marketing year average price is lowered $0.20 per cwt at the midpoint to a range of $9.90 to $10.90 on lower projected California prices.

Global rice production for 2016/17 is lowered 2.3 million tons to 481.5 million tons led by a 1.7-million-ton reduction for China and a 0.5-million-ton reduction for the Philippines. With total supplies falling faster than use this month, world ending stocks are lowered 1.5 million tons but up 3 percent from the prior year.

Sugar: Minor adjustments are made to the 2015/16 U.S. sugar supply and use balance based on revised Sweetener Market Data (SMD) submitted by processors to USDA. For 2016/17, Hawaii cane sugar production is raised by 6,000 short tons, raw value, based on close to end of season processor reporting. Texas cane sugar production is raised by 5,000 short tons, raw value, based on increased crop yield reported by NASS. The projection of 2016/17 beet sugar production is unchanged as lower-than-expected sucrose levels in certain parts of the Red River Valley and Michigan are countered by strong content and record crop yields in western growing areas.

Cotton: This month’s 2016/17 U.S. cotton forecasts include increased production, lower domestic mill use, and higher exports and ending stocks. Production is raised 362,000 bales to 16.5 million due to an increase for Texas, which is partially offset by decreases for the Carolinas. Domestic mill use is reduced 200,000 bales as recent activity indicates a slowdown in pace compared to the year-ago level. The export projection is raised 200,000 bales on higher production. Ending stocks are now projected at 4.8 million bales or 31 percent of disappearance. The global 2016/17 forecasts likewise show higher production and increased ending stocks compared with last month.

Livestock, Poultry, and Dairy: The 2016 forecast of total red meat and poultry production is raised from last month as higher forecast beef production offsets lower poultry and pork production. Beef production is raised on the current pace of slaughter. Pork production is lowered due to counter-seasonally lighter-than-expected carcass weights this quarter. Broiler and turkey production is forecast lower, largely reflecting the slower pace of slaughter in the fourth quarter. For 2017, pork and broiler production forecasts are unchanged from the previous month, but beef and turkey production forecasts are lowered.

However, the ensuing decline in fed cattle slaughter will be slightly offset by higher expected cow slaughter. The turkey production forecast is lowered from the previous month as a slower pace of slaughter is expected in the second half of the year. Egg production is forecast higher for both 2016 and early 2017.

Cattle prices are forecast higher for the remainder of 2016 and through the first half of 2017 as demand has improved and is expected to carry into early 2017. Hog prices are unchanged. Broiler prices are raised for 2016 and 2017 on recent price strength. Turkey prices are lowered in 2016 and 2017 on weaker-than-expected demand. For 2016, egg prices are lowered reflecting current price data, but the price forecast for 2017 is unchanged.

The milk production forecast is lowered for both 2016 and 2017 as slower growth in cow numbers more than offsets slightly higher growth in milk per cow.

Price forecasts for cheese and butter are raised for 2016 on current price strength.

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